Tuesday, June 4, 2013

Our predictions for the 2013 Canadian Grand Prix

Formula 1 heads back to the North American continent to race the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Canada. The high speed circuit combined with with cold temperatures, low grip surface and bumpy asphalt requires Pirelli to bring out their Supersoft tyres along with their Medium compound to help drivers get their rubber upto temperature sooner rather than later.

The cold temperatures could bring in the rain, while the walls in close proximity of this uber high speed circuit result in a high chance of Charlie Whiting having to bring out the safety car. The unpredictable nature of the variables in this race means that it is a very open ended Grand Prix, which could have any one of the top ten on the top step of the podium come race day. A fine example would be Button winning the 2011 Canadian GP after starting from P7 and after six visits to the pit lane.

This temporary nature of this track means that it is going to be constantly evolving during the course of the weekend as the rubber gets laid down. The emphasis is going to be on rear tyre wear as drivers struggle for traction out of the numerous slow speed corners on this low grip asphalt. This would probably rule out the Mercedes' and the Red Bull's, but with a wider understanding of the tyre swapping technique they just might be able to stay ahead after a strong qualifying on Saturday.

With teams running medium to low downforce levels at Montreal, the stress is more on mechanical grip rather than on aerodynamic grip, and with Red Bull struggling with the former we do not expect them to do very well at the Ile de Notre Dame.

Ferrari struggled in Monaco with traction out of the corners and they should find it difficult on the Supersoft's around the Canadian circuit as well. Expect them to switch to the Mediums as early as possible and then stay on them till the end. Lotus and Force India's advantage with regard to their tyre management might allow them to make one less pit stop, but they might be better placed if they go for broke and push their tyres for more pace with respect to their rivals.

Two or three stops should be the norm for the weekend, but we believe the aggressive drivers going for three stops will be rewarded as it is quite easy to overtake around this circuit. The short run to the first corner will reward the brave as there are places to be made but it can bite the unlucky as well .... Watch out for Grosjean starting with his ten place grid penalty.

Our predictions for 2013 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix Qualifying* -
1. Ros 2. Ham 3. Rai

Our predictions for the 2013 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix Race* -
1. Rai 2. Alo 3. Ros 4. Ham 5. Sut 6. Vet 7. Web 8. Dir 9. Mas 10. Per

* - Predictions are based on current form and could be revised based on practice results, before we go into qualifying.

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